Why Our Numbers Are Always WrongDigital Tonto • 28 October 2012 Softer science. The Bayesian approach to problem-solving is making a comeback, thanks to its finesse in factoring in new feedback. Blogger Greg Satell says relying on controlled experiments and complex mathematics to establish scientifically verifiable conclusions has failed us as a society, as evidenced in the preponderance of non-replicable scientific studies. Read on for an easy-to-digest discussion of problem-solving theory that offers real-life insight into the current political climate. Before I even understood "frequentist" statistical analysis properly I had a business school professor who insisted instead on Bayesian analysis. That was confusing enough but what made it even harder were there were virtually no automated tools to support the latter type of analysis. Now there are plenty and plenty of techniques. Here's a nice visualization of Bayes' theorem. (Michalko) A History of Reading | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Supreme Court to Hear Arguments in Case of Student Who Resold Books
CNN.com • 27 October 2012
Slippery slope. The latest copyright case to hit the Supreme Court docket involves a student who bought foreign editions of John Wiley & Sons textbooks and resold them to students in the U.S. The Court's decision will consider the "first sale" doctrine and its complex relation to foreign distribution rights. Read on for a concise summary of the issues and how they may affect libraries, media firms, and consumer and retail groups.
Slippery slope indeed. In an earlier ATF I allowed that I was surprised that I hadn't known about this suit and that the concerns around it from our community weren't more urgent. You can see the history of the case here on the Supreme Court's blog (!?). The case is going forward and I hope we don't take comfort in imagining a legislative cutout for libraries as an adequate offset to a decision in favor of John Wiley. (Michalko)
How to Find What You're Not Looking For
The Creativity Post • 25 October 2012
Accidental genius. Many groundbreaking industrial products, including celluloid, Teflon and Scotch Tape, initially were labeled failed solutions to other problems. Creativity expert Michael Michalko suggests ways to examine ideas that may not fit into your current area of inquiry. Read on for his suggestions on how to rethink accidental discoveries.
These are mostly anecdotes of sidelong accidental successes that you have probably already heard. The Plus/Minus/Interesting analytic technique is a good one if you can achieve the necessary objective state to carry it out. [Incidentally the author, Michael Michalko, is not related but is clearly the most well-known holder of that surname on the web. I have a brother, Michael Mark Michalko, who goes by "Mark" but occasionally gets e-mail pleading for tips on how to roto-root away creative blockages.] (Michalko)
Above the Fold Quiz
According to an item in this week's News and Views section, what is "The Flipped Library"?
| OCLC Research at the Archival Leaders Advocate Annual Seminar OCLC Research Library Partnership Meeting at Yale University
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